Impact at scale · High-end scenario estimate
One seed, three horizons.
What follows is a model, not a result. It sizes the Kore network at three horizons (Year 1: one metro district. Year 5: about forty cities. Year 10: a national footprint) and applies published incidence rates to estimate what early sensing could mean each year, in lives protected, losses avoided, hours returned, and trash diverted into Kore Ore.
High-end scenario estimate · Modeled, not measured · Concept visualization
| Modeled per year | Year 1 · One street | Year 5 · A town | Year 10 · A region |
| Network | 10,000 homes · 500 businesses · 25 public facilities · 50 infrastructure nodes | 250,000 homes · 15,000 businesses · 500 facilities · 500 nodes | 3,000,000 homes · 300,000 businesses · 8,000 facilities · 8,000 nodes |
| Lives: deaths avoided | 0.41 | 9.6 | 130 |
| Lives: serious injuries avoided | 15 | 290 | 5,000 |
| Money: losses avoided | $6.6M | $110M | $1.6B |
| Time returned | 110,000 hours | 2.2M hours | 36M hours |
| Trash diverted into ore | 30,000 tons | 380,000 tons | 6.2M tons |
High-end scenario estimate. Modeled from published incidence rates and stated adoption assumptions. Not a forecast, not current results, not a promise. Kore is concept-stage, pre-prototype, pre-revenue.
How the model works
- Incidence comes from published sources. Home fires: NFPA, Fire Loss in the United States During 2024 (329,500 home fires; 2,920 deaths; 8,920 injuries; $11.4B in direct damage). Falls: CDC data on adults 65 and older (about 1 in 4 fall each year; about 1 million hospitalizations; fall death rate 78.4 per 100,000). Carbon monoxide: CDC surveillance (more than 400 deaths a year). Workplace deaths: BLS Census of Fatal Occupational Injuries 2023 (construction rate 9.6 per 100,000 FTE; falls 39.2 percent of construction deaths). Water damage: Insurance Information Institute average claim of $15,400. Restaurant fires: NFPA (7,410 a year; cooking equipment about 61 percent).
- Effect sizes are stated assumptions, not measurements. Examples: 20 percent of home fire severity avoided through early alert; 50 percent of CO deaths avoided through parts-per-million early warning; 10 percent of senior fall deaths avoided by answering a fall in under a minute; 50 percent of water claim severity avoided by catching a leak in its first hour. Pilots exist to test these numbers.
- Heavy industry uses one careful figure. A peer-reviewed breakout-prediction field trial at the Bokaro steel caster reported about ₹31.15M a year in prevented losses. The model applies that figure only to the heavy process tenth of infrastructure nodes, and says so wherever it matters.
- Public systems are modeled, not courted. Hospitals, schools, public housing, and water systems appear as impact on shared systems everyone depends on. Kore makes no outreach to government bodies; the point of including them is the size of the stakes, not an offer.
- What would make this wrong. Adoption first: every figure scales with the size of the network, so a network one tenth as large produces one tenth of everything. The effect assumptions are unproven until pilots measure them, and the falls assumptions are the softest, because sensing mostly speeds the response rather than preventing the fall. The model counts gross avoided losses, not impact net of the cost of building the network.